Best Setups · public record
Every call, graded against BTC
Each card the Best Setups board publishes is logged when it is published and graded as a buy once its window's horizon has run. Nothing is picked after the fact, and nothing is left out because it went badly.
As of . Recomputed from the graded calls at most every five minutes.
The board is currently below a coin flip: on every window with at least 30 graded calls (1m, 1h, 1d and 1w), fewer than half the calls closed above entry. Ranks 1–3 hit less often than ranks 4–8 on 1h, 1d and 1w, so the top of the board is not yet doing better than the rest. They still lead on mean excess over BTC on 1w (+6.07% against +2.13%), which a few large moves can carry. On 1m, ranks 1–3 hit more often than ranks 4–8.
By window
1m
Graded over 5 minutes, a board every 15 minutes, first call 27 Sep 2026.
| Calls | Graded | Hit rate | Mean return | Median return | Excess vs BTC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 14,378 | 47.3% | +0.02% | 0% | +0.02% |
| Ranks 1–3 | 5,420 | 47.7% | +0.03% | 0% | +0.03% |
| Ranks 4–8 | 8,958 | 47.1% | +0.02% | 0% | +0.02% |
47% of 14378 graded 1m calls closed above entry, 0.02% ahead of BTC on average. 8 still open, 838 unresolvable (a missing candle is never filled in).
1h
Graded over 1 hour, a board every hour, first call 27 Sep 2026.
| Calls | Graded | Hit rate | Mean return | Median return | Excess vs BTC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 3,674 | 47.8% | +0.05% | 0% | +0.05% |
| Ranks 1–3 | 1,379 | 46.2% | +0.04% | -0.06% | +0.05% |
| Ranks 4–8 | 2,295 | 48.8% | +0.05% | 0% | +0.06% |
48% of 3674 graded 1h calls closed above entry, 0.05% ahead of BTC on average. 8 still open, 126 unresolvable (a missing candle is never filled in).
1d
Graded over 24 hours, a board every 4 hours, first call 27 Sep 2026.
| Calls | Graded | Hit rate | Mean return | Median return | Excess vs BTC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 887 | 39.3% | -0.55% | -0.64% | -0.42% |
| Ranks 1–3 | 335 | 35.5% | -1% | -0.8% | -0.87% |
| Ranks 4–8 | 552 | 41.7% | -0.28% | -0.51% | -0.14% |
39% of 887 graded 1d calls closed above entry, 0.42% behind BTC on average. 48 still open, 25 unresolvable (a missing candle is never filled in).
1w
Graded over 7 days, a board every day, first call 27 Sep 2026.
| Calls | Graded | Hit rate | Mean return | Median return | Excess vs BTC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 109 | 30.3% | +2.78% | -3.91% | +3.61% |
| Ranks 1–3 | 41 | 24.4% | +5.23% | -4.65% | +6.07% |
| Ranks 4–8 | 68 | 33.8% | +1.3% | -3.01% | +2.13% |
30% of 109 graded 1w calls closed above entry, 3.61% ahead of BTC on average. 56 still open, 3 unresolvable (a missing candle is never filled in).
1y
Graded over 365 days, a board every week, first call 27 Sep 2026.
| Calls | Graded | Hit rate | Mean return | Median return | Excess vs BTC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 0 | withheld | — | — | — |
| Ranks 1–3 | 0 | withheld | — | — | — |
| Ranks 4–8 | 0 | withheld | — | — | — |
Too few graded 1y calls to judge: 0 of the 30 needed. 32 still open, 0 unresolvable (a missing candle is never filled in).
Method
- Call
- Each published card, treated as a buy.
- Entry
- Close of the last candle closed when the board was built.
- Exit
- Close of the last candle closed when the window's horizon ran out.
- Benchmark
- BTC over the same span; excess is the call's return minus it.
- Hit
- Closed above entry. The hit rate is withheld below 30 graded calls.
- Minimum sample
- 30 graded calls per window, and per rank group.
- Overlap
- 1d boards are sampled every 4 hours against a 24-hour horizon, so neighbouring 1d calls overlap in time.
- Board
- One board per slot. Before 2026-10-14 a restarted server could file a second, partial board in a slot that already had one; those calls are kept but not counted here or listed in the export.
- Source
- 1-minute exchange candles; 1y uses daily closes.
What changed
- v0.9.8, 15 Oct 2026: the 1w score now counts weekly volume, which had scored zero for every coin. Every call carries the version that ranked it, so 1w calls from before and after can be compared separately.
- 14 Oct 2026: one board per slot. A restarted server used to file a second, partial board in a slot that already had one. Those calls stay in the table, uncounted here and left out of the export.
- Since 4 Oct 2026, alternative rankings are tested in the background on the same boards, under rules written before their data. None changes the live board unless it meets its rule, and then only as a new version.
Raw data
The numbers on this page, and every graded call behind them with the inputs that scored it, as JSON:
See the board this record grades
Pick a window and read the current ranked setups: score, inputs, why now, what would invalidate it, and the risk.
A record of a ranking, not of trades: no money moved on these calls. Past calls say nothing certain about future ones. Not financial advice.